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When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Aug 5, 2027
Waymo
Jan 2, 2027
Any Service
Nov 30, 2026
10
95 comments
95
Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?
47%
8
4 comments
4
Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?
Resolved :
Yes
11
13 comments
13
Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?
Resolved :
Yes
9
6 comments
6
Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?
Resolved :
No
14
11 comments
11
When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?
2030-07-16
12
11 comments
11
Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021?
Resolved :
No
22
28 comments
28
In the year ending on November 2nd, 2020, will the total worldwide non-governmental funding of AI & Automation social science research exceed $100M?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
11
16 comments
16
Foresight 2020 Contest
When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?
2073-10-09
15
25 comments
25
Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?
Resolved :
No
10
11 comments
11
AI Demonstrations
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