Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ฅ
Communities
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
87.87%
More than 100
11.83%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
96 comments
96
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Announcing FluSight Challenge 2023/2024
9
7 comments
7
FluSight Challenge 2023/24
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
4.2%
110 forecasters
16
67 comments
67
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
condition
Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025?
20 forecasters
if yes
if no
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
1%
1%
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
0%
0%
1
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Will the GOP hold the Senate on January 3rd 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
262 forecasters
34
81 comments
81
Future Perfect 2020 Series
Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday?
Resolved :
No
101 forecasters
11
58 comments
58
How many DC charging stations will Boulder, CO have by the end 2021?
Resolved :
5
25 forecasters
4
9 comments
9
How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?
6.35
43 forecasters
9
7 comments
7
What will be the Colorado Riverโs average annual flow volume from 2025-2050?
12.8M
7 forecasters
1
no comments
0
The Colorado River and the Southwestern US Under Climate Change
9
1 comment
1
Metaculus Journal Archives
Load More