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How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023?
Resolved :
100
75 forecasters
2
9 comments
9
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Will the statutory debt limit be increased or suspended for at least 30 days in the United States before 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
52 forecasters
5
13 comments
13
What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?
2024:
37.1
18 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
condition
Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
13 forecasters
if yes
if no
U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?
7%
7%
Resolved :
No
U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?
62%
62%
Resolved :
Annulled
4
1 comment
1
Will the U.S. reinstate its nuclear-armed sea-launched cruise missile program before 2030?
Resolved :
Yes
24 forecasters
4
4 comments
4
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
US SLCM 2030
Resolved :
Yes
6 forecasters
if yes
if no
US-China war before 2035?
10%
10%
US-China war before 2035?
4%
4%
Resolved :
Annulled
1
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox