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Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?
27%
1746 forecasters
56
201 comments
201
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
25%
280 forecasters
37
44 comments
44
Verity
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
40%
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?
Resolved :
No
2%
128 forecasters
31
32 comments
32
Population Crashes: The Deadliest Events In History
8
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?
2%
264 forecasters
36
55 comments
55
Verity
Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
1157 forecasters
237
1.9k comments
1.9k
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
10%
239 forecasters
22
54 comments
54
If Russia invades Ukraine in 2022, when will the invasion be acknowledged by Russia or the UN?
Resolved :
Feb 24, 2022
2022-02-25
146 forecasters
23
32 comments
32
If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
358 forecasters
20
64 comments
64
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