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Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?

Civil Liability Laws

Mandatory Disclosure Requirements

10

Regulation of AI

The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec

AI Progress Essay Contest

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

4

Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?

107 forecasters

23

Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?

4

Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?

11

Will security patches against "Specter-NG" vulnerabilities be available for end-users by September 2018?

Resolved :Ambiguous

3

Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?

145 forecasters

19

When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?

15

Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024?

3