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Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?
8%
107 forecasters
8
6 comments
6
Biosecurity Tournament
Will the FDA authorise the use of remdesivir to treat COVID-19 by the end of 2020?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
75 forecasters
19
37 comments
37
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?
Resolved :
3
124 forecasters
15
33 comments
33
Economist 2021
Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA within a week after the 26 February VRBPAC meeting?
Resolved :
Yes
129 forecasters
13
23 comments
23
Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA before 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
61 forecasters
3
5 comments
5
When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine receive full BLA approval by the U.S. FDA?
Resolved :
Aug 23, 2021
41 forecasters
5
9 comments
9
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2
When will Paxlovid be given an EUA from the FDA?
Resolved :
Dec 22, 2021
58 forecasters
12
17 comments
17
When will the FDA authorize an oral antiviral treatment for SARS-CoV-2?
Resolved :
Dec 22, 2021
22 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3
Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023?
Resolved :
No
128 forecasters
17
23 comments
23
What percentage of US children under 5-years-old will have at least one dose of any COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022?
Resolved :
8.81
65 forecasters
11
30 comments
30
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
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