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What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?

10

Superconductor Frontiers

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

420 forecasters

36

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

385 forecasters

38

Ragnarök Series

When will the first O'Neill cylinder variant be completed?

6

How many level 2 or greater public charging stations will be available for light vehicles in the United States at the beginning of the listed year?

6

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

6

Regulation of AI

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

4

Regulation of AI

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

136 forecasters

12

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

269 forecasters

34

Ragnarök Series

What is the largest amount of iron that will be used to fertilise an ocean as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2026?

5