Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will in-line chlorination devices serve at least 5.8 million people in Andhra Pradesh at the end of the 4th year of Evidence Action's program?
67%
8 forecasters
1 comment
1
Forecast With GiveWell
Will in-line chlorination devices serve at least 6.7 million people in Madhya Pradesh at the end of the 4th year of Evidence Action's program?
60%
4 forecasters
3 comments
3
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the household water chlorination rate be 65% or higher for households served in the first two years of Evidence Action's program in Madhya Pradesh and Andhra Pradesh?
42%
7 forecasters
1 comment
1
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study of chlorine distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in chlorine usage by the recipients?
85%
11 forecasters
1
3 comments
3
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study of oral rehydration solution and zinc distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in ORS/zinc usage by the recipients?
90%
10 forecasters
1 comment
1
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?
90%
14 forecasters
1
1 comment
1
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study of supplying eyeglasses to near-vision impaired adults in Kenya and India find a boost to household consumption of the following levels?
≥5%
40%
≥3%
40%
6
6 comments
6
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?
24 months old
65.4%
18 months old
58%
4 comments
4
Forecast With GiveWell