Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ฅ
Communities
๐ญ
Bridgewater 2025
๐ค
AI Benchmarking
๐
ACX 2025
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
95%
North Macedonia
83%
Albania
81%
17 others
24
51 comments
51
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
9%
367 forecasters
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?
3%
55 forecasters
7
3 comments
3
By November 2nd, 2020, will the ten cities with the highest number of surveillance cameras per 1,000 people all be located in China?
Resolved :
No
3%
138 forecasters
15
10 comments
10
Foresight 2020 Contest
LRT 2.4: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?
Resolved :
659
712
78 forecasters
4
33 comments
33
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Counterfactual LRT 2.5: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
430
52 forecasters
7 comments
7
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Will Russia recognize a breakaway state of any territories claimed by Ukraine by 2023?
15
18 comments
18
Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
436 forecasters
12
28 comments
28
Ukraine Conflict
Ukraine Conflict Update for Sunday, 2022-03-13
6
1 comment
1
Ukraine Conflict
Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14
13
1 comment
1
Ukraine Conflict
Load More