Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
8%
146 forecasters
13
1 comment
1
Ragnarök Series
Has new a planetary-mass object been discovered in the outer solar system?
Resolved :
No
19 forecasters
9
2 comments
2
A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious
Resolved :
No
77 forecasters
5
12 comments
12
AI ambiguity Series
Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?
Resolved :
No
122 forecasters
13
16 comments
16
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?
Resolved :
No
76 forecasters
9
1 comment
1
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?
Resolved :
No
66 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
Pandemic Series (2018)
A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?
Resolved :
No
136 forecasters
10
7 comments
7
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
27%
219 forecasters
33
27 comments
27
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: overview
14
5 comments
5
Ragnarök Series
Will genetic data from a new Denisova hominin be published in the first 6 months of 2019?
Resolved :
No
33 forecasters
4 comments
4
Load More