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Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?
Resolved :
No
32%
114 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?
Resolved :
Yes
70%
169 forecasters
25
26 comments
26
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile in 2019?
Resolved :
No
20%
85 forecasters
12
18 comments
18
Will North Korea fail to send the U.S. a Christmas Gift?
Resolved :
Yes
95%
70 forecasters
10
39 comments
39
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile in 2020?
Resolved :
No
8%
195 forecasters
21
47 comments
47
If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?
90.7
48 forecasters
14
15 comments
15
If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?
37.1
60 forecasters
17
14 comments
14
Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2022?
Resolved :
No
20%
172 forecasters
24
65 comments
65
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile between November 3rd 2020 and March 1st 2021?
Resolved :
No
25%
118 forecasters
4
25 comments
25
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
92%
53 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Nuclear Risk Tournament
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