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Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

134 forecasters

11

How many deaths in the US will be due to antibiotic-resistant infections in 2035?

5

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

5

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

221 forecasters

33

Ragnarök Series

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

159 forecasters

31

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

9

By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

Resolved :No54%

27

Playing God Series

Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in "select agent" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?

Resolved :No29%

2

Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?

Resolved :No10%

122 forecasters

13

Pandemic Series (2018)

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?

Resolved :No30%

9

Pandemic Series (2018)