Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the U.S. Senate vote on the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh before Monday, October the 8th?
Resolved :
Yes
91%
46 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
If Donald Trump is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives, will the U.S. Senate take the referral to a vote?
Resolved :
Yes
90%
57 forecasters
6
23 comments
23
Will there be an authentic leaked tape that costs Trump major public support in 2020?
Resolved :
No
2%
120 forecasters
6
21 comments
21
When will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Resolved :
Oct 26, 2020
2020-10-27
85 forecasters
15
51 comments
51
[short fuse] Will Trump be impeached and convicted by the Senate in 2021?
Resolved :
No
33%
149 forecasters
36
50 comments
50
Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021?
Resolved :
No
1%
175 forecasters
18
58 comments
58
Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023?
Resolved :
No
1%
97 forecasters
9
27 comments
27
Verity
Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?
Resolved :
Yes
99.9%
118 forecasters
11
31 comments
31
[Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday?
Resolved :
Yes
80%
62 forecasters
7
18 comments
18
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰