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What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
90.9
14 forecasters
2
6 comments
6
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?
Sam Bankman-Fried
Yes
Caroline Ellison
Yes
Gary Wang
Yes
2 others
16
73 comments
73
Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?
Resolved :
No
10%
63 forecasters
5
9 comments
9
Will the first commercial hyperloop system be within the US?
35%
211 forecasters
22
16 comments
16
Will another 9/11 on U.S. soil be prevented at least through 2030?
80%
177 forecasters
14
14 comments
14
Will Kirsten Gillibrand drop out before the New York primary?
Resolved :
Yes
90%
32 forecasters
6
15 comments
15
Will New York City close most of its public schools due to COVID-19 before 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
95%
130 forecasters
14
59 comments
59
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?
85
48 forecasters
14
15 comments
15
If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?
37.6
60 forecasters
17
14 comments
14
On what date will the daily number of COVID-19-related deaths in New York State first peak?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
2020-04-14
70 forecasters
13
73 comments
73
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
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