Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Announcing FluSight Challenge 2023/2024
9
7 comments
7
FluSight Challenge 2023/24
Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?
Resolved :
No
63 forecasters
5
9 comments
9
Will the first commercial hyperloop system be within the US?
36.7%
208 forecasters
22
16 comments
16
Will another 9/11 on U.S. soil be prevented at least through 2030?
78%
174 forecasters
14
13 comments
13
Will Kirsten Gillibrand drop out before the New York primary?
Resolved :
Yes
32 forecasters
6
15 comments
15
Will New York City close most of its public schools due to COVID-19 before 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
130 forecasters
14
59 comments
59
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?
88.6
47 forecasters
14
15 comments
15
If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?
37.1
60 forecasters
17
14 comments
14
On what date will the daily number of COVID-19-related deaths in New York State first peak?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
70 forecasters
13
73 comments
73
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will New York State's 14 day moving average of daily cases rise above 3000 again by the end of 2020?
Resolved :
Yes
63 forecasters
12
16 comments
16
Load More