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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2025:
1%
779 forecasters
72
349 comments
349
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
34%
955 forecasters
105
200 comments
200
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
48 forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
45%
45%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
20%
20%
5
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
China Disavows Force in Taiwan Reunification?
10 forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)
25%
25%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)
30%
30%
1
3 comments
3
The Taiwan Tinderbox