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Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
33 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
4 comments
6 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.8%
Hikaru Nakamura99%

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

4
1010 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
33 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
9 comments
45 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

0 comments
6 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of foreign interference?

0 comments
3 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

11 comments
28 forecasters

When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
9 comments
67 forecasters

How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will any of these listed US federal government officials be out of their position before October 1, 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days