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Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

107 forecasters

8

Biosecurity Tournament

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

149 forecasters

21

What will be the absolute efficacy of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?

5

Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?

8

When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective?

Resolved :Oct 2, 2023

13

Biosecurity Tournament

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

3

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

5