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0 comments
16 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. presidentโ€™s net worth reach โ‰ฅ4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

1 comment
18 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

1 comment
32 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?

99%chance
35% this week
3 comments
34 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
14 Nov 2025 12:19
4 comments
49 forecasters

How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026?

Current estimate
74.8 People

Key Factors

5 comments
8 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%
26 comments
66 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
0.841 ยฐC

Key Factors

45 comments
170 forecasters

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Current estimate
16 Mar 2029
5 comments
6 forecasters

Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)

99%chance
18% today
2 comments
9 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?

44%chance
41% this week