Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will X, formerly Twitter, cease to be commonly referred to as "X, formerly Twitter"?
2025-11-12
12 forecasters
5
8 comments
8
Will any of these Reddit alternatives be more popular than Reddit by 2026?
1%
102 forecasters
13
11 comments
11
Will a reddit submission get a score of 100k on (approximately) December 15th 2018?
Resolved :
Yes
81%
46 forecasters
1
3 comments
3
Will a major US website crash due to internet traffic in April?
Resolved :
No
9%
69 forecasters
6
30 comments
30
Will Stefan Molyneux receive a long-term Twitter ban before 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
98%
71 forecasters
10
22 comments
22
Will Richard Spencer receive a long-term Twitter ban before 2021?
Resolved :
No
1%
60 forecasters
-9
9 comments
9
Will Charles Murray receive a long-term Twitter ban before 2021?
Resolved :
No
1%
66 forecasters
1
5 comments
5
When will /r/themotte be banned from Reddit?
2025-12-31
38 forecasters
6
no comments
0
Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?
32%
43 forecasters
7
13 comments
13
How many subscribers will /r/sneerclub have on January 1st 2022?
Resolved :
12.8k
14k
29 forecasters
-26
4 comments
4
Load More