Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will AI wholly create an original, critically-acclaimed feature film?
Oct 2030
101 forecasters
10
36 comments
36
AI Demonstrations
Will Belfast (2021) win the 2022 Best Picture Oscar?
Resolved :
No
30%
39 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
What will the Rotten Tomatoes audience score of the upcoming Super Mario movie be?
Resolved :
96
59.8
40 forecasters
6
29 comments
29
What will be the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer for Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga following its premiere at Cannes?
Resolved :
86
92.3
245 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2024