Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ฅ
Communities
๐ญ
Bridgewater 2025
๐ค
AI Benchmarking
๐
USAID Outlook
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
23%
2454 forecasters
164
263 comments
263
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
2025
2.58
2030
6.94
2035
12.3
13
13 comments
13
๐ฐ The Sagan Space Tournament ๐ฐ
When will a Turkish mission make a hard landing on the Moon?
Jan 2030
21 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Autocrat Public Figures Series
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%
251 forecasters
28
15 comments
15
Ragnarรถk Series
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
20%
286 forecasters
38
44 comments
44
Verity
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
6.03 spacecraft
58 forecasters
14
20 comments
20
Will a post-Putin Russia substantially democratise within 5 years?
13%
132 forecasters
17
17 comments
17
Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?
Resolved :
No
5%
155 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Pandemic Series (2018)
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
40%
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
When will a fifth nation launch a person into space?
2030
72 forecasters
11
6 comments
6
Load More