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If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Mars
38%
Europa
26%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
16
16 comments
16
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
50%
China
33%
United Arab Emirates
10%
6 others
16
43 comments
43
What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years?
2122
471k
2052
43.8k
2032
11.7k
2 others
12
9 comments
9
Forecasting Our World in Data
What will be the median cost of a visit to space for a private citizen?
2035
1.61M
2030
8.9M
2025
24M
13
16 comments
16
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Announcing the Sagan Space Tournament
19
13 comments
13
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
When will at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies be imported to Earth?
2075-03-15
5 forecasters
6 comments
6
condition
AI Wins Coding Competition in 2024?
Resolved :
No
18 forecasters
if yes
if no
Frontier Open-Source AI? (2025)
20%
20%
Resolved :
Annulled
20%
Frontier Open-Source AI? (2025)
20%
20%
Resolved :
Yes
20%
2
4 comments
4
Conditional Cup
Will the results of the propellantless propulsion drive revealed by Dr. Charles Buhler and Exodus Propulsion Technologies replicate before July 1, 2025?
2%
14 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
In what year will a physical object be teleported?
2717-01-01
13 forecasters
13
40 comments
40
Between June 1 and June 15, 2024, what will be the strongest geomagnetic storm observed on Earth?
6.0 to 6.667
Yes
7.0 to 7.667
No
8.0 to 8.667
No
3 others
6
3 comments
3
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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