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Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
1157 forecasters
237
1.9k comments
1.9k
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
If Russia invades Ukraine in 2022, when will the invasion be acknowledged by Russia or the UN?
Resolved :
Feb 24, 2022
2022-02-25
146 forecasters
23
32 comments
32
If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
358 forecasters
20
64 comments
64
Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
1%
431 forecasters
11
33 comments
33
Ukraine Conflict
Depending on Ukraine ground forces entering Russia, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
UA attack
Annulled
No UA attack
Annulled
8
5 comments
5
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
Ukraine does not strike
Ambiguous
Ukraine strikes
No
9
8 comments
8
Red Lines in Ukraine
Will the Ukrainian parliamentary elections be held on schedule on or before 29 October, 2023?
Resolved :
No
1%
93 forecasters
9
11 comments
11