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What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?
49.6
51 forecasters
7
6 comments
6
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Will the IBM's Summit remain the top dog in supercomputing power?
Resolved :
Yes
81%
67 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?
Closed
254
34 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
The Top500's total sum in 2030 as a multiple of the total sum in 2015
Closed
551
38 forecasters
7
3 comments
3
Will the United States continue to be the country with the largest share of computational power in the November 2019 TOP500?
Resolved :
Yes
81%
72 forecasters
10
5 comments
5
What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?
Resolved :
38
51.4
26 forecasters
4
2 comments
2
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47.2%
29 forecasters
5
no comments
0
When will zettascale computing be achieved?
2036-11-04
30 forecasters
9
5 comments
5
What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2022 publication of TOP500 list?
Resolved :
43.7
38.3
32 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?
Resolved :
1.1
1.34
35 forecasters
3
5 comments
5
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
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