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Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?
1%
275 forecasters
28
61 comments
61
Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?
Resolved :
No
33%
67 forecasters
10
15 comments
15
Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?
Resolved :
Yes
67%
36 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?
Resolved :
No
13%
288 forecasters
28
31 comments
31
Will there be a "no-deal" Brexit?
Resolved :
No
40%
142 forecasters
15
25 comments
25
Before 8 September 2018, will the UK request an extension to Article 50 for leaving the EU?
Resolved :
No
1%
74 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will the UK leave the EU without a deal by April 12th?
Resolved :
No
10%
104 forecasters
13
40 comments
40
Will the UK revoke Article 50 by June 23 2020?
Resolved :
No
25%
78 forecasters
13
13 comments
13
Will Brexit happen by end of day, October 31st, 2019?
Resolved :
No
25%
191 forecasters
45
89 comments
89
If there is a no-deal Brexit, what will be the average yearly % GDP growth of the UK in the subsequent five years?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
0.291
28 forecasters
7
6 comments
6
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