MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Forecast With GiveWell

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

10

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

478 forecasters

14

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?

Resolved :No0.5%

7

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

10

Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?

Resolved :No35%

5

How many electoral college votes will Donald Trump win in the 2020 Presidential Election?

Resolved :232223

162 forecasters

27

How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2020 presidential election?

Resolved :306319

135 forecasters

21

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

131 forecasters

35

Will the US hold mass-turnout elections for President on schedule in 2020?

Resolved :Yes93%

199 forecasters

30

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

Resolved :4949.6

8