Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ฅ
Communities
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Announcing FluSight Challenge 2023/2024
9
7 comments
7
FluSight Challenge 2023/24
Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?
Resolved :
Yes
38 forecasters
2
10 comments
10
What will Washington stateโs Department of Revenue report as the 2020 Q1 gross business income?
Resolved :
214B
53 forecasters
2
27 comments
27
What will the Seattle Police Department report as the total number of criminal offenses in March 2020?
Resolved :
5.02k
49 forecasters
6
29 comments
29
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
When will SpaceX Starlink internet be generally available?
Resolved :
Jun 15, 2021
117 forecasters
28
62 comments
62
Will Washington stateโs Department of Revenue report a gross business income for Q1 2021 that reaches or exceeds pre-COVID levels from Q1 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
39 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
When will a wild grizzly bear be sighted in Colorado?
2036-09-06
10 forecasters
5
1 comment
1
Will FDA approval of mifepristone for abortion no longer be in effect for any period of time before July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
83 forecasters
6
18 comments
18
๐ฐ Breaking News Tournament ๐ฐ
How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting
21
3 comments
3
Metaculus Journal Archives
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
35%
Florida
20%
47 others
10
30 comments
30
Load More