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Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?
Resolved :
No
35%
31 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?
Resolved :
No
50%
92 forecasters
11
21 comments
21
Will the Democratic candidate for the 2020 US presidential election be chosen at the Democratic National Convention after only one round of voting?
Resolved :
Yes
65%
70 forecasters
5
10 comments
10
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
15%
173 forecasters
12
105 comments
105
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
5%
94 forecasters
9
21 comments
21
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
Resolved :
No
2%
202 forecasters
22
119 comments
119
When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?
Jan 2031
23 forecasters
12
13 comments
13
Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election?
Resolved :
Yes
81%
92 forecasters
6
34 comments
34
Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Alaska
Yes
Florida
Yes
Texas
Yes
20 others
41
261 comments
261
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Alaska
?
Washington
?
Oregon
?
47 others
10
30 comments
30
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