Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
condition
Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?
8 forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
65%
65%
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
50%
50%
1
2 comments
2
What will real Gross World Product be in 2100, in trillions of 2020 USD?
152k trillion $
26 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
What will be Russia's fertility rate (in births per woman) in 2027?
1.3 births/woman
43 forecasters
5
8 comments
8
Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?
12%
11 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
Will China's GDP exceed the United States' GDP in any year before 2041?
59%
401 forecasters
58
48 comments
48
Will Ukraine's exports in 2025 exceed those in 2021?
1%
72 forecasters
11
8 comments
8
What will be the World GDP in 2028 in trillions of 2010 USD?
113 trillion USD
97 forecasters
17
17 comments
17
Fewer than 375M in extreme poverty by 2030?
15%
143 forecasters
29
26 comments
26
When will India become a World Bank high-income country?
Mar 2048
99 forecasters
18
31 comments
31
When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country?
Jan 2050
103 forecasters
8
44 comments
44
Load More