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If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?
60%
168 forecasters
17
33 comments
33
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will Russia lose control of the Kuril Islands before 2028?
1%
78 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
What will be the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries in the following years?
2023
41.9
2025
40.7
2032
41.7
2 others
3
2 comments
2
Forecasting Our World in Data
Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?
48%
106 forecasters
13
69 comments
69
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%
251 forecasters
28
15 comments
15
Ragnarรถk Series
Will a world war begin before 2151?
60%
410 forecasters
55
38 comments
38
Will any country's military expenditure exceed that of the United States before 2030?
3%
195 forecasters
23
15 comments
15
What will be the highest US debt-to-GDP ratio by the end of 2023?
Resolved :
Annulled
136
34 forecasters
6
14 comments
14
What will China's human development index (HDI) score be in 2030?
0.848 HDI
36 forecasters
13
7 comments
7
How many major wars will begin between 2021 and 2031?
Closed
5.45
103 forecasters
15
40 comments
40
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