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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

59%chance

When will the United States lift the requirement that international visitors be vaccinated against COVID-19?

07 Nov 2024

Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?

resultNo

Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?

1%chance

How many annual deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections will have been estimated by the CDC to occurred in 2021 in the US?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

39k

Will someone hold their breath for more than 30 minutes before 2025?

resultNo

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

67%chance

Will oral semaglutide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?

82%chance

Will humans go extinct before 2100?

Key Factor

Possibility of AI smarter than humans, with goal of wiping out humans

1%chance

Key Factor

Possibility of AI smarter than humans, with goal of wiping out humans

When will Russia repeal or amend its laws that prohibit gender-affirming health care?

Sep 2051
5.9 years this week