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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters

2024 US Presidential Election Winner?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Vivek Ramaswamyresult: No
Cornel Westresult: No
Tim Walzresult: No
16 others
47 comments
80 forecasters

Venezuela Election Winner 2024

Nicolás Maduroresult: Yes
The Unitary Platform Candidate16.8%
Another outcome1%
3 comments
25 forecasters

Panamanian Election Winner 2024

José Gabriel Carrizo1%
Ricardo Lombana3.1%
José Raúl Mulinoresult: Yes
Martín Torrijos3.2%
2 others
68 comments
112 forecasters

Seats Won Per Party In UK General Election

Labourresult: 411
Conservativeresult: 121
Liberal Democratresult: 72
Scottish National Partyresult: 9
7 others
27 comments
161 forecasters

Most Seats Won in 45th Canadian Election

Liberalresult: Yes
Conservativeresult: No
People'sresult: No
Greenresult: No
2 others
7 comments
13 forecasters

Somaliland Election Winner 2024?

Muse Bihi Abdi85.3%
Another Kulmiye Party candidate0.1%
A Waddani Party candidateresult: Yes
A Justice and Welfare Party candidate1%
Another outcome1%
52 comments
19 forecasters

Parliamentary seats of each French party in 2024

Rassemblement Nationalresult: 126
Renaissanceresult: 99
La France Insoumiseresult: 72
Parti Socialisteresult: 66
8 others
4 comments
15 forecasters

Tunisian Election Winner 2024

resultYes
19 comments
120 forecasters

2025 German Federal Elections

CDU/CSUresult: Yes
FDPresult: No
SPDresult: No
Die Linkeresult: No
2 others
13 comments
11 forecasters

CZ 2025 election

ANO 2011result: 80 seats
Civic Democratic Party (ODS)result: 27 seats
Mayors and Independents (STAN)result: 22 seats
Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD)result: 11 seats
7 others
3 comments
12 forecasters

Iceland Election Winner 2024?

Katrín Jakobsdóttir51.9%
Baldur Þórhallsson4.8%
Jón Gnarr1%
Halla Hrund Logadóttir40.2%
2 others
6 comments
32 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats?

Labourresult: Yes
Progressresult: No
Conservativeresult: No
Socialist Leftresult: No
6 others
9 comments
27 forecasters

Seats won by the PAP in the next election

community
87.5%
result
89.69%
4 comments
21 forecasters

Bangladesh elections in 6 months?

resultNo
19 comments
57 forecasters

Coalition Wins Australian Federal Election

resultNo
5 comments
19 forecasters

President of Croatia in 2024-2025 Election?

Zoran Milanovićresult: Yes
Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović1%
Ivan Šimonović0.1%
Someone else20.6%
3 others
8 comments
18 forecasters

President of South Sudan in 2024?

Salva Kiir Mayardit0.1%
Bol Gai Deng0.1%
Peter Mayen Majongdit0.1%
No election is held in 2024result: Yes
2 others
5 comments
13 forecasters

2024 Presidential Election in Ghana Winner?

Mahamudu Bawumia35.5%
John Mahamaresult: Yes
Alan John Kyerematen1%
Nana Kwame Bediako1%
Another outcome1%
5 comments
12 forecasters

Namibia Presidential Election Winner 2024?

Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwahresult: Yes
Panduleni Itula7.5%
McHenry Venaani18.1%
Another outcome1%
1 comment
10 forecasters

Palauan Election Winner 2024?

Surangel Whipps Jr.result: Yes
Thomas Remengesau Jr.54%
Another outcome1%
18 comments
1k forecasters

Party Winning the Presidency in 2024?

Democratic0.1%
Republicanresult: Yes
Libertarian0.1%
Green0.1%
Other0.1%
9 comments
21 forecasters

Mozambique Presidential Election Winner 2024?

Filipe Nyusi0.5%
The RENAMO candidate0.9%
Another outcomeresult: Yes
2 comments
22 forecasters

Moldovan Election Winner 2024

Maia Sanduresult: Yes
Igor Dodon0.1%
Ion Chicu0.1%
Ion Ceban0.1%
Someone else1%
18 comments
33 forecasters

Georgian Dream party wins in 2024?

resultYes