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ChristianKleineidam
Predictions
235
Comments
60
Member Since
February 2016
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by ChristianKleineidam
1 comment
9 forecasters
Will Helion deliver ≥50 MW to Microsoft under their fusion PPA before January 1, 2030?
50.1%
chance
15 comments
31 forecasters
When will the Ethereum mainnet do 1,000 transactions per second?
Current estimate
25 Aug 2029
7 comments
18 forecasters
When will the first company list on the Long-Term Stock Exchange?
community
03 Sep 2022
result
Ambiguous
9 comments
25 forecasters
When will it be possible to buy Quantum Computing via the Cloud?
community
07 May 2024
result
Ambiguous
18 comments
42 forecasters
When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?
Current estimate
Jun 2044
12 comments
112 forecasters
Will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key in 2030?
25%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
8 comments
42 forecasters
Will Wikileaks publish the full "Panama Papers" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?
result
No
3 comments
70 forecasters
Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?
result
No
5 comments
60 forecasters
Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?
result
No
8 comments
69 forecasters
Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?
result
No
8 comments
59 forecasters
The Qualcomm Tricorder XPRIZE to be awarded to a team in 2017?
result
Yes