When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will number of reported COVID-19 deaths (globally) per week go below 10,000 for 3 weeks?

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?

What will be the longest uninterrupted stay (in days) in deep space before 2051?

Will detection of phosphine in Venus atmosphere be independently reproduced by 2023?

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?

How big will be the first crew sent to Mars?

This question is closed for forecasting.

When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise (MMLU)?

Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?

When will the first baby be born away from Earth?

When will AI achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?

This question is closed for forecasting.

Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?

When will a language model with at least 100B parameters be open sourced including for commercial use?

Will a language model with at least 100B parameters trained to do external information retrieval exist before 2023?