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AABoyles
Predictions
1281
Comments
592
Member Since
July 2018
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by AABoyles
6 comments
4 forecasters
When will the Metaculus Algorithm break its worst prediction record?
community
Apr 2029
result
Ambiguous
5 comments
4 forecasters
When will the Metaculus Community break its worst prediction record?
community
17 Jan 2025
result
Ambiguous
0 comments
Are We Surprised by AI Milestones?
58 comments
113 forecasters
Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?
result
Yes
13 comments
18 forecasters
What will be the Hue (in angular degrees) of Pantone's Color of the Year for 2022?
community
239
result
240
135 comments
370 forecasters
If president Trump loses the 2020 election, will he concede?
result
Yes
51 comments
150 forecasters
When will the Catholic Church Elect a new Pope?
community
20 May 2025
result
08 May 2025 16:00 UTC
7 comments
29 forecasters
What proportion of 2020 U.S. House of Representatives elections without a running incumbent will be won by Republicans?
community
0.619
result
0.694
14 comments
121 forecasters
Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?
result
No
40 comments
156 forecasters
Will the next US recession turn into a depression?
result
No
70 comments
191 forecasters
Will a recession cause "suicides by the thousands"?
result
No
17 comments
96 forecasters
Will JHU CSSE's COVID-19 dashboard remain open and maintained through 2020-12-31?
result
Yes
44 comments
164 forecasters
Before 2020-05-17, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?
result
No
49 comments
150 forecasters
Will the WHO or North Korean Government confirm any COVID-19 cases in North Korea by 2020-05-17?
result
No
30 comments
55 forecasters
When will Beyond Chicken be available from a Grocery Store?
community
13 Mar 2022
result
11 Oct 2021 UTC
29 comments
145 forecasters
Will another location overtake Hubei as the location of the largest COVID-19 outbreak before 2021?
result
Yes
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