nagolinc

Predictions568

Member SinceAugust 2018

37 forecasters

Current estimate

160 forecasters

US Starship program too ambitious for timeline
arstechnica.com:
Due to need for "absolute success," China delays critical Moon launch to 2027
US lunar program setbacks increase China's chances

92 forecasters

Current estimate

112 forecasters

28 forecasters

308 forecasters

107 forecasters

Current estimate

282 forecasters

96 forecasters

28 forecasters

18 forecasters

63 forecasters

Current estimate

77 forecasters

Current estimate

74 forecasters

144 forecasters

146 forecasters

nagolinc

Questions by nagolinc

How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

When will the GDP of Mars exceed that of Earth?

Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?

What will the democracy index of Kyrgyzstan be in 2022?

Will Nord Stream 2 be completed before 2025?

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

Alexander Lukashenko to remain president of Belarus on January 31st, 2021?

Will China's Tianwen-1 rover successfully land on Mars?

What will the real GDP/capita of the USA be in 2024 if Joe Biden is elected president?

What will the real GDP/capita of the USA be in 2024 if Donald Trump is reelected president?

When will a technology replace screens?

Which Artemis Moon Mission landing system will first land a person on the moon?

Will the number of foreign nationals in Mainland China fall between 2010 and 2030?

Will a Wealth Tax be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?

Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?

How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

When will the GDP of Mars exceed that of Earth?

Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?

What will the democracy index of Kyrgyzstan be in 2022?

Will Nord Stream 2 be completed before 2025?

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

Alexander Lukashenko to remain president of Belarus on January 31st, 2021?

Will China's Tianwen-1 rover successfully land on Mars?

What will the real GDP/capita of the USA be in 2024 if Joe Biden is elected president?

What will the real GDP/capita of the USA be in 2024 if Donald Trump is reelected president?

When will a technology replace screens?

Which Artemis Moon Mission landing system will first land a person on the moon?

Will the number of foreign nationals in Mainland China fall between 2010 and 2030?

Will a Wealth Tax be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?

Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?