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galen
Predictions
89670
Comments
141
Member Since
February 2020
links
Overview
Track Record
Medals
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by galen
7 comments
43 forecasters
Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?
16%
chance
19 comments
50 forecasters
Will Australia hold a Federal Referendum on an "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" before January 1, 2026?
result
Yes
39 comments
38 forecasters
If the Australian "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" Referendum is held before 2026, what percent of voters will vote in favor?
community
39.8
result
39.94
57 comments
85 forecasters
If the Australian "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" Referendum is held before 2026, will it pass?
result
No
18 comments
29 forecasters
What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Australia by the end of 2021?
community
2277
result
2257
2 comments
23 forecasters
What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q3 2021?
community
0.486
result
0.5
2 comments
24 forecasters
What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q2 2021?
community
0.498
result
0.4
2 comments
7 forecasters
What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q1 2021?
community
0.486
result
0.4
5 comments
22 forecasters
What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q3 2021?
community
0.51
result
0.6
2 comments
23 forecasters
What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q2 2021?
community
0.601
result
0.5
8 comments
10 forecasters
What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q1 2021?
community
0.623
result
0.6
16 comments
88 forecasters
Will JavaScript be the most used programming language in the 2030 Stack Overflow Developer Survey?
30%
chance
5%
this week
Key Factors
Web-based development favors Javascript
Python favored by learners
36 comments
69 forecasters
Will an Australian Federal Election be held in 2021?
result
No
12 comments
72 forecasters
Will Donald Trump be outside of the United States on 2021-01-20?
result
No
12 comments
31 forecasters
Will three or more United Nations Security Council resolutions be vetoed in 2021?
result
No
21 comments
21 forecasters
When will the Sentinelese cease to be an uncontacted people?
Current estimate
Feb 2040
12 comments
33 forecasters
How many thousand cattle will be slaughtered in Australia in Q4 2020?
community
1859
result
1562.7
11 comments
31 forecasters
Will the cover of the 2022 IKEA Catalogue feature a human?
Ambiguous
19 comments
38 forecasters
How many seats will the Australian Greens Party hold in the ACT after the 2020 Territory Election?
community
3.16
result
6
14 comments
86 forecasters
Will Scott Morrison be Prime Minister of Australia on 1 July 2021?
result
Yes