ForkLeaf

Predictions755

Member SinceSeptember 2022

44 forecasters

29 forecasters

Current estimate

138 forecasters

Situation less favorable than Baghdad 2003
Trump commitment to full-scale war impacts chances
One-year timeline tight for force buildup in Tehran

7 forecasters

Current estimate

32 forecasters

6 forecasters

18 forecasters

402 forecasters

39 forecasters

Current estimate

His death or war end are main possibilities
Zelensky may not want to continue
Serving 10+ years affects democratic image

20 forecasters

390 forecasters

Current estimate

- Russian economic stability
Political stability
Resource deployment

75 forecasters

189 forecasters

Ivanivske99%

Velyka Novosilka99%

Kostyantynivka80%

Druzhkivka34%

166 forecasters

57 forecasters

5 forecasters

Current estimate

34 forecasters

29 forecasters

Current estimate

14 forecasters

51 forecasters

143 forecasters

64 forecasters

56 forecasters

44 forecasters

ForkLeaf

Questions by ForkLeaf

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

When will a trip to Mars be available to the general public at a price less than the average American worker's annual salary?

If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?

When will a country first introduce an antimatter weapon in its armed forces?

Do we live in a false vacuum?

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

Will Walmart stores in the United States return to 24-hour service before 2026?

Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024?

When will Volodymyr Zelensky cease to hold the office of President of Ukraine?

Will Russia purchase an American weapons system before 2050?

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

When will the USAF's Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter aircraft reach initial operating capability?

Will a Star Trek and Star Wars crossover movie or TV show be made before 2060?

When will the United States have an AI president?

How many months in prison will Andrew Tate be sentenced to before 2026?

Will faster-than-light communication be possible before 2300?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024?

Will F-22 or F-35 fighter jets be pledged to Ukraine by January 1, 2024?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

When will a trip to Mars be available to the general public at a price less than the average American worker's annual salary?

If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?

When will a country first introduce an antimatter weapon in its armed forces?

Do we live in a false vacuum?

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

Will Walmart stores in the United States return to 24-hour service before 2026?

Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024?

When will Volodymyr Zelensky cease to hold the office of President of Ukraine?

Will Russia purchase an American weapons system before 2050?

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

When will the USAF's Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter aircraft reach initial operating capability?

Will a Star Trek and Star Wars crossover movie or TV show be made before 2060?

When will the United States have an AI president?

How many months in prison will Andrew Tate be sentenced to before 2026?

Will faster-than-light communication be possible before 2300?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024?

Will F-22 or F-35 fighter jets be pledged to Ukraine by January 1, 2024?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?