136.554 | How many airborne objects will be shot down in North American airspace in 2023? | Continuous |
95.498 | Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
94.825 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
90.249 | Will Tesla's market cap be greater than $1 trillion before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
84.142 | Will OpenAI limit interactions with GPT-4 on ChatGPT due to model misbehavior before the end of May 2023? | Binary |
83.920 | Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India? | Binary |
83.596 | Will there be a Twitter outage resulting in no tweets for more than 60 minutes before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
76.753 | Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg engage in a cage fight at any point before 2024? | Binary |
75.276 | Will year-on-year core inflation in the United States exceed 6% for the year ending in December 2022? | Binary |
73.966 | Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win Best Picture - Non-English Language at the 2023 Golden Globe Awards? | Binary |
70.945 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
70.170 | Will Reddit announce changes or a delay to its proposed API fee pricing before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
68.615 | Will Apple release a 15-inch MacBook Air at WWDC on June 5-9, 2023? | Binary |
56.257 | Will Donald Trump participate in the 2nd Republican primary debate? | Binary |
54.777 | When will the U.S. end the public health emergency for COVID-19? | Continuous |
51.690 | Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023? | Binary |
51.201 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Banks (R)) | Binary |
51.200 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Patrick McHenry (R)) | Binary |
51.189 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Andy Biggs (R)) | Binary |
51.187 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Elise Stefanik (R)) | Binary |
51.186 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Hakeem Jeffries (D)) | Binary |
51.185 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Don Bacon (R)) | Binary |
47.217 | Will a nationwide UPS strike be underway in the United States on August 4, 2023? | Binary |
45.292 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Jordan (R)) | Binary |
44.132 | Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
42.855 | Will the writers' strike be active on May 12th, 2023? | Binary |
39.179 | Will the maiden flight of the H3 Launch Vehicle carrying ALOS-3 launch successfully and on time? | Binary |
38.769 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Byron Donalds (R)) | Binary |
38.426 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
38.044 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Steve Scalise (R)) | Binary |
33.970 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Kevin McCarthy (R)) | Binary |
32.618 | How many FDIC banks will fail in 2023? | Continuous |
25.931 | Will Kevin McCarthy be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
22.138 | When will the second Starship test flight occur? | Continuous |
20.211 | Will the second Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
18.806 | Will an accredited US college or university have taught a course on prompt-engineering for credit before 2024? | Binary |
17.283 | Will Donald Trump participate in the first Republican presidential debate? | Binary |
16.433 | Will Google integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Search before August 1, 2023? | Binary |
14.017 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Kevin Hern (R)) | Binary |
13.080 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Fred Upton (R)) | Binary |
11.979 | Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024? | Binary |
11.802 | Will an Elon Musk-funded AI lab release an LLM before 2024? | Binary |
9.543 | Will Virgin Orbit file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
8.639 | Will Starship achieve liftoff before Monday, May 1st, 2023? | Binary |
6.656 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin be confirmed to be dead before November 2023? | Binary |
6.135 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
5.033 | Will SpaceX receive a launch license for Starship from the FAA before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
4.015 | Will countries commit at least 100 US/German-made modern main battle tanks to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
2.789 | Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
1.775 | Will the suspected Chinese surveillance balloon be on the ground before February 11th, 2023? | Binary |
1.638 | Will India's Chandrayaan-3 mission successfully land a rover on the moon? | Binary |
0.232 | Will USDC restore its peg before May 1, 2023? | Binary |
-0.738 | Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight? | Binary |
-5.243 | How far from the bow of the Titanic will the submersible 'Titan' be located? | Continuous |
-13.480 | Will a vote on a Republican-introduced resolution to vacate the Speaker of the House be held before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
-16.338 | [Short Fuse] How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? | Continuous |
-35.470 | Will First Republic Bank enter FDIC receivership or be sold "under duress" before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
-259.453 | Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023? | Binary |