93.277 | Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
83.484 | Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India? | Binary |
81.029 | Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024? | Binary |
75.454 | Will F-22 or F-35 fighter jets be pledged to Ukraine by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
74.928 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
70.635 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |
69.655 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Simferopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
68.948 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Mariupol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
68.146 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
67.135 | Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023? | Binary |
65.985 | Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in September 2023 be the lowest in recorded history? | Binary |
65.498 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Melitopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
63.973 | Will Abdel Fattah al-Burhan be removed from power in Sudan before June 15, 2023? | Binary |
61.671 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024? | Binary |
60.039 | Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023? | Binary |
57.201 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
56.997 | Will the UK Labour Party have a polling lead of at least 10% on 1 January 2024? | Binary |
56.207 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2024) | Binary |
49.757 | Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
49.430 | Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024? | Binary |
47.954 | Will FDA approval of mifepristone for abortion no longer be in effect for any period of time before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
47.646 | Will Ukraine control Armiansk before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
44.820 | Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th? | Binary |
41.200 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
40.410 | Will the Ukrainian parliamentary elections be held on schedule on or before 29 October, 2023? | Binary |
35.493 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023? | Binary |
34.330 | Will Donald Trump participate in the first Republican presidential debate? | Binary |
30.637 | Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
25.430 | Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
25.119 | Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
18.590 | Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023? | Binary |
15.414 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
11.726 | Will Deutsche Bank collapse (or be rescued) before June 2023? | Binary |
10.019 | Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023? | Binary |
8.150 | Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023? | Binary |
6.909 | Will a bill be introduced in the Indian Parliament to change the official name of the country to Bharat before September 23, 2023? | Binary |
4.420 | Will Russia station at least one nuclear weapon in Belarus before 2024? | Binary |
-1.381 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023? | Binary |
-11.173 | Will the Conservatives hold on to their seat in the Mid Bedfordshire by-election? | Binary |