48.385 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
41.252 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
36.915 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
33.509 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
32.447 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
31.336 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
27.013 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
23.832 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
20.133 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
19.498 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
15.792 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
14.662 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
14.635 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
14.300 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
13.688 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
12.935 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
12.534 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
12.279 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
11.595 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
11.049 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
10.436 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
8.243 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
7.659 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
7.145 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
7.026 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
6.790 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
4.988 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
4.901 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
4.268 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
3.375 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
3.020 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
2.251 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
2.177 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
1.088 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
0.374 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
-7.324 | Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US/NATO Ops in UA) | Binary |
-20.890 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
-37.605 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
-73.530 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |