| 62.015 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 51.858 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 34.770 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
| 33.993 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 33.957 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 27.453 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 26.543 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 23.810 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| 22.275 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 19.561 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 17.517 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 17.343 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.829 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 15.823 | Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? | Binary |
| 15.669 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 15.233 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| 14.484 | Will the US PREVENT Pandemics Act be made into law before February 2023? | Binary |
| 14.239 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.993 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 13.696 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 11.899 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 10.318 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 8.894 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.796 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 7.466 | How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)? | Continuous |
| 5.949 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 5.834 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
| 5.657 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 5.526 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 4.522 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.154 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.934 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.478 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 3.062 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.057 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 1.346 | Will a new Office of Pandemic Preparedness and Response Policy be created if the PREVENT Pandemics Act is made law? | Binary |
| 0.857 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| -0.307 | Will a decision be made to start and fund a dedicated and systematic science and technology review process at the 2022 BWC Review Conference? | Binary |
| -7.545 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
| -13.895 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |