55.506 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
50.039 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
42.941 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
33.477 | Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard by June 30, 2023? | Binary |
27.194 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
22.523 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
18.487 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
18.041 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
17.567 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
16.002 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
14.822 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
14.306 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
13.227 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
12.785 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
11.766 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
10.605 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
10.477 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
9.764 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
9.394 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
8.290 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
6.384 | When will Boris Johnson no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? | Continuous |
6.376 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
6.310 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
5.756 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
5.747 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
5.202 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
5.200 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
4.434 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
3.698 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
3.126 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
2.453 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
0.799 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
0.234 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
-0.052 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
-1.564 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
-4.622 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
-17.852 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
-20.348 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
-20.815 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
-30.144 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
-43.929 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |