| 148.939 | How much money will the FTX Foundation distribute in 2023? | Continuous |
| 128.128 | What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be? | Continuous |
| 114.307 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 98.087 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 97.425 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 96.920 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 96.627 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 96.430 | In December 2025, what will UK total national debt (excluding public sector banks) be as a percentage of GDP? | Continuous |
| 95.589 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 93.079 | If the federal minimum wage is $10 or less at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 92.658 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 92.430 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 90.012 | What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US, in billions USD, in 2022? | Continuous |
| 89.607 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 84.867 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 84.213 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 84.124 | How many dollars will it cost per month to store 1 TB on Google Cloud Archive in 2025? | Continuous |
| 83.153 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
| 82.804 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 80.254 | How many subscribers will the Youtube channel Rational Animations have on November 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 78.059 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 77.157 | What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2? | Continuous |
| 77.106 | How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 76.950 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 76.534 | Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025? | Binary |
| 76.218 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 70.791 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 70.277 | In 2025, what percent of Australia's Liberal parliamentarians will be women? | Continuous |
| 65.329 | Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026? | Binary |
| 63.397 | How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States? | Continuous |
| 62.285 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 61.830 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 60.404 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 60.361 | How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Apple Inc. affiliation? | Continuous |
| 60.358 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 58.476 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| 58.464 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 58.437 | Will global trade as a percentage of GWP exceed 61% by 2026? | Binary |
| 57.533 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 56.489 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 56.351 | What will Hungary's total fertility rate be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 55.743 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Animal Welfare in 2025? | Continuous |
| 54.352 | What will be the average monthly rate of US workforce resignations in 2022? | Continuous |
| 54.315 | How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Amazon affiliation? | Continuous |
| 49.024 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 48.537 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 46.719 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 43.174 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 42.397 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 42.218 | Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025? | Binary |
| 42.216 | Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025? | Binary |
| 41.713 | When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments? | Continuous |
| 41.703 | Will Urbit development be ongoing in 2025? | Binary |
| 41.690 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 40.819 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 40.765 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 37.499 | Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025? | Binary |
| 37.020 | On what date will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC)? | Continuous |
| 30.955 | Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025? | Binary |
| 28.831 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.291 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.228 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 26.218 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 23.826 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| 21.739 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| 20.585 | What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Jan-2026) | Continuous |
| 18.978 | How many refugees will be admitted to the US from 2021 to 2024? | Continuous |
| 18.710 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022? | Continuous |
| 17.394 | How correlated will progress be across subfields of AI as determined by Metaculus between 2021 to 2025? | Continuous |
| 16.321 | Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024? | Binary |
| 13.747 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.704 | What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 13.465 | How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 13.331 | What will the Men's winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be? | Continuous |
| 13.307 | What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 12.375 | Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025? | Binary |
| 11.731 | By 2024, will the next Nuclear Posture Review explicitly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 9.848 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| 9.074 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2024-12-14 in accuracy? | Continuous |
| 8.456 | What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.290 | What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.678 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2025? | Continuous |
| 1.854 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 0.955 | When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring? | Continuous |
| 0.314 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.207 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| - | BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| - | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| - | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| - | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| -0.526 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| -1.967 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| -2.950 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| -3.548 | Will John McAfee receive a prison term of at least 3 years? | Binary |
| -4.455 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -4.878 | How many Metaculus users will attend the unofficial Metaculus Meetup at the Taco Bell in Westfield, Indiana on the 1st of January 2025? | Continuous |
| -7.810 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| -8.401 | How many structures will be newly deposited to the Protein Data Bank archive in 2025? | Continuous |
| -10.621 | When will the number of US oil rigs exceed 1000? | Continuous |
| -13.272 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -13.301 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| -13.680 | Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025? | Binary |
| -14.025 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| -14.982 | Will the 12-Month U.S. Core Consumer Price Index rise above 3.0% by 2024? | Binary |
| -15.196 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -15.197 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| -15.272 | When will an algorithm be able to predict the Big Five personality traits of a person from a naturalistic photograph or video? | Continuous |
| -19.730 | How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022? | Continuous |
| -20.159 | How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2022-2024? | Continuous |
| -31.902 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -32.187 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| -32.192 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -32.330 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -38.889 | What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -47.806 | When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space? | Continuous |
| -57.066 | Will the Somerton Man's DNA match that of "Jestyn's" family? | Binary |
| -63.358 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in cultivated meat companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| -64.288 | Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024? | Binary |
| -72.882 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| -73.181 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2025? | Continuous |
| -73.922 | Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023? | Binary |
| -77.645 | What will be Trump's first retrospective job approval rating? | Continuous |
| -85.463 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| -85.570 | When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%? | Continuous |
| -91.509 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -100.011 | How much total capital will be invested in plant-based foods companies through exits (IPOs, direct listings, mergers and acquisitions) in 2022? | Continuous |
| -143.392 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -151.171 | How many customers will make up the biggest paying customer base of any AI assistant software in 2025? | Continuous |
| -168.884 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -176.494 | What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025? | Continuous |
| -177.258 | When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit? | Continuous |
| -184.709 | What will Google Trends search interest for Donald Trump be in July 2024 as a percentage of in November 2016? | Continuous |
| -206.602 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |