| 98.371 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 98.190 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 95.260 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.533 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 92.432 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 87.811 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 84.702 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 84.498 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 83.037 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 82.202 | How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 81.342 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 76.935 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 75.844 | How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide? | Continuous |
| 72.502 | How many active United Nations peacekeeping missions will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 71.820 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 70.947 | What will the estimated number of people (in millions) in severe food insecurity be in 2022, according to the 2023 FAO “State of food security and nutrition in the world” annual report? | Continuous |
| 69.265 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 69.046 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 65.149 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 64.164 | How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 62.082 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 61.687 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 60.983 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 60.477 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 60.469 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 59.589 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 58.658 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 58.504 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 55.147 | What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025? | Continuous |
| 54.979 | What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025? | Continuous |
| 53.727 | What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 53.549 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 52.979 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 51.665 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 51.211 | What will the population-weighted average life expectancy at birth be in the G7 countries in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 50.117 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 48.453 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 44.820 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 42.458 | How many Japanese Air Force responses to Chinese military threats there will be by 2024? | Continuous |
| 41.742 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 41.147 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 41.147 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 41.128 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 41.128 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 41.121 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 41.113 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 39.976 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 39.513 | By what percentage will the total US yearly retail sales of plant-based meat in 2022 grow compared to 2020? | Continuous |
| 39.117 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 39.117 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 38.792 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 37.660 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 37.105 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 34.007 | How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 33.945 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 33.002 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 32.245 | What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Jan-2026) | Continuous |
| 31.756 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 31.480 | What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 30.353 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 30.065 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 28.773 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 28.152 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 26.752 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 25.622 | Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 21.661 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 21.450 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022? | Continuous |
| 21.396 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 20.086 | Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026? | Binary |
| 19.887 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Neutron) | Continuous |
| 19.017 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 18.890 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 18.859 | What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 18.730 | Will there be a successful coup in Cameroon before 2026? | Binary |
| 18.614 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Terran R) | Continuous |
| 17.272 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 16.688 | What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 16.320 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.134 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 16.065 | What will be the total quantity of space debris orbiting earth in each year? (2025) | Continuous |
| 15.732 | What will be the number of operational satellites in each year? (2025) | Continuous |
| 15.542 | What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 15.054 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| 14.714 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 13.929 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 12.691 | What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles? (2025) | Continuous |
| 12.389 | How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 11.996 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 11.234 | How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 11.111 | What will be the median cost of a visit to space for a private citizen? (2025) | Continuous |
| 10.715 | What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 10.129 | What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused? (2025) | Continuous |
| 9.837 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 9.420 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.493 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.469 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 8.103 | Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.078 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 6.624 | Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 6.267 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.092 | What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 5.670 | Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term? | Binary |
| 4.442 | What will be the cumulative number of private citizens visiting space for the first time? (2025) | Continuous |
| 3.729 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.601 | Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)? | Binary |
| 3.274 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.097 | What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 2.497 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.644 | Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election? | Binary |
| 1.254 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (New Democratic) | Binary |
| 1.254 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Green) | Binary |
| 1.254 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Bloc Québécois) | Binary |
| 1.254 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (People's) | Binary |
| 1.237 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Liberal) | Binary |
| 1.237 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Conservative) | Binary |
| 0.209 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.187 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 0.104 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.032 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 0.004 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 0.004 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 0.004 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 0.003 | What will be the number of US states with building code requirements related to electric vehicles in 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.001 | What will be the number of US states with "right to charge" regulations in 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.001 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -4.261 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -8.497 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -13.104 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -15.240 | How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026? | Continuous |
| -16.763 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -18.296 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -18.312 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2024-12-14 in accuracy? | Continuous |
| -20.638 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Starship) | Continuous |
| -21.660 | How much total capital will be invested in plant-based foods companies through exits (IPOs, direct listings, mergers and acquisitions) in 2022? | Continuous |
| -23.221 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -31.630 | What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -36.752 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -37.662 | What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -44.660 | What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| -56.384 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| -59.837 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| -72.666 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| -73.361 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in cultivated meat companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| -85.286 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -88.434 | When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit? | Continuous |
| -196.464 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -218.488 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |