| 106.014 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 99.144 | What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 98.467 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.522 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 89.227 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 88.585 | What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 84.771 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 84.204 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 83.233 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 82.669 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 81.512 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 80.746 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 79.554 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 78.546 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 77.795 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 76.858 | How many confirmed children will Elon Musk have by end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 74.649 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 74.429 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 74.429 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 74.321 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 73.456 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 72.475 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 71.378 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 71.261 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 70.147 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 69.471 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 68.902 | How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide? | Continuous |
| 65.956 | How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025? | Continuous |
| 65.453 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 63.860 | What will the population-weighted average life expectancy at birth be in the G7 countries in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 62.814 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 62.491 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 61.157 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 60.411 | What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 58.398 | What will be the total quantity of space debris orbiting earth in each year? (2025) | Continuous |
| 57.005 | What will be world per capita primary energy consumption (in kWh) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 54.768 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 54.280 | What percent of the world population will use the internet in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 50.971 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 50.287 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 49.547 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| 49.293 | What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 49.200 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 48.107 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 48.107 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 48.107 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 47.755 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 47.755 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 47.755 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 47.754 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 46.470 | What will world real GDP growth per capita be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 46.462 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 46.019 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 45.947 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 43.384 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 43.097 | How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States? | Continuous |
| 42.846 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 42.628 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 41.808 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 40.328 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 39.576 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 38.183 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 37.216 | What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 35.787 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (April 2024) | Continuous |
| 35.333 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 35.104 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 33.045 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 32.667 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 32.024 | What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 30.900 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| 28.304 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 27.169 | When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human? | Continuous |
| 25.705 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 25.288 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 24.966 | What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 23.673 | Will 3M file for bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 23.673 | Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)? | Binary |
| 22.098 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 21.429 | Before 2025, will the US FDA authorize use of an at-home over-the-counter rapid test for influenza? | Binary |
| 21.272 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 20.329 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 18.862 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 17.909 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 17.471 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 16.863 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 15.896 | What will productivity be in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 14.948 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2024) | Continuous |
| 14.209 | What will be Trump's first retrospective job approval rating? | Continuous |
| 12.529 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.035 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.781 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 8.626 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 8.400 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 6.769 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 4.674 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 3.754 | How many flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, make in its lifetime? | Continuous |
| 2.857 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.778 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 0.513 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 0.243 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| - | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| - | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| -0.112 | What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area? | Continuous |
| -1.411 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -7.364 | What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024? | Continuous |
| -10.411 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -10.957 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| -13.282 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -13.508 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -14.862 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -16.943 | BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -17.836 | When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective? | Continuous |
| -20.969 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -22.065 | What will be the cumulative number of private citizens visiting space for the first time? (2025) | Continuous |
| -23.172 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -23.816 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -25.767 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -27.110 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -27.665 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -31.474 | What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -32.166 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| -33.416 | What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -38.081 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -40.082 | How many active United Nations peacekeeping missions will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -50.538 | How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025? | Continuous |
| -53.200 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -55.132 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -59.761 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| -60.927 | When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit? | Continuous |
| -67.096 | What percentage of Hispanic or Latino voters will vote Republican in 2024? | Continuous |
| -80.839 | What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused? (2025) | Continuous |
| -82.956 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| -85.876 | How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026? | Continuous |
| -93.973 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| -100.155 | What will the US life expectancy be in 2023? | Continuous |
| -100.697 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -107.269 | What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years? (2024) | Continuous |
| -109.023 | When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%? | Continuous |
| -149.912 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| -151.758 | How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -152.290 | What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -175.972 | What will be the median cost of a visit to space for a private citizen? (2025) | Continuous |
| -184.232 | What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -193.476 | What will be the maximum Antarctic sea ice extent in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -204.379 | What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles? (2025) | Continuous |
| -205.235 | What will the world population be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -215.884 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -225.472 | What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years? (2023) | Continuous |