| 148.202 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 145.646 | How much money will the FTX Foundation distribute in 2023? | Continuous |
| 110.515 | When will the D.C. federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (election subversion case) | Continuous |
| 103.186 | When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case) | Continuous |
| 98.951 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 98.951 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 98.683 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.618 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 98.576 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 98.499 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 98.434 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 98.396 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 93.581 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 92.883 | What will be the world population in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 90.941 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 89.499 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 88.555 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 85.176 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 82.204 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 81.362 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 79.860 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 79.775 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 77.726 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Forward) | Continuous |
| 77.230 | What will Google Trends search interest for Donald Trump be in July 2024 as a percentage of in November 2016? | Continuous |
| 73.978 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 73.841 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Libertarian) | Continuous |
| 73.812 | How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States? | Continuous |
| 73.791 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 70.694 | What will the world population be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 69.141 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 68.489 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Green) | Continuous |
| 64.632 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 63.723 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 63.723 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 61.638 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 61.178 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 60.678 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 58.854 | What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025? | Continuous |
| 57.265 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (New Democratic) | Binary |
| 57.265 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Bloc Québécois) | Binary |
| 57.265 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Green) | Binary |
| 57.265 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (People's) | Binary |
| 56.760 | Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025? | Binary |
| 54.531 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 53.372 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 52.278 | How many active United Nations peacekeeping missions will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 51.543 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 51.540 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 51.540 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 51.421 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 51.367 | What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 51.306 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 51.097 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 50.286 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 50.107 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 49.586 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 47.630 | What will OpenAI's estimated Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) be in 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.359 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 47.295 | What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024? | Continuous |
| 46.935 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Die Linke) | Binary |
| 46.915 | Will SpaceX's non-launch revenue exceed its launch revenue before 2025? | Binary |
| 46.797 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (Grüne) | Binary |
| 46.797 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (FDP) | Binary |
| 46.536 | What percent of the world population will use the internet in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 46.101 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (AfD) | Binary |
| 45.293 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 45.158 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 44.150 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 44.055 | What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 43.891 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2026? | Binary |
| 43.721 | What will the population-weighted average life expectancy at birth be in the G7 countries in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 42.333 | What will the US life expectancy be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 42.202 | What will be the average inflation in Turkey from 2022 to 2024 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
| 42.153 | What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 41.120 | What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 40.874 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 40.874 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 40.874 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 40.846 | Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 40.744 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 40.576 | What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 40.391 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 39.716 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (April 2024) | Continuous |
| 38.350 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 37.945 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (SPD) | Binary |
| 37.426 | What will world real GDP growth per capita be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 36.766 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 36.741 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 36.351 | Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (CDU/CSU) | Binary |
| 35.839 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 35.658 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 35.595 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 35.585 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 35.543 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 34.421 | What will be world per capita primary energy consumption (in kWh) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 33.504 | In what year will the XTX AI International Math Olympiad main prize be won? (2025) | Binary |
| 33.372 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 33.194 | What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 33.076 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 31.099 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 31.004 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Democratic) | Continuous |
| 30.898 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Republican) | Continuous |
| 30.842 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 30.063 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 29.626 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 29.447 | What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 29.425 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 29.136 | What percentage of Hispanic or Latino voters will vote Republican in 2024? | Continuous |
| 28.433 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 27.490 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 26.672 | When will Neuralink first implant a brain-machine interface device in a living human? | Continuous |
| 26.288 | How many confirmed children will Elon Musk have by end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.105 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 25.908 | What will the Men's winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be? | Continuous |
| 23.505 | What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 22.592 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 21.535 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 19.888 | Will mean log-odds outperform median log-odds for the next 1000 questions? | Binary |
| 19.505 | How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates? (October 1, 2025) | Continuous |
| 18.851 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 18.707 | Will China operate at least one military base in a BRICS country before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.903 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (New Glenn) | Continuous |
| 14.706 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Ariane 6) | Continuous |
| 14.416 | What will the world rice yield be (in tonnes per hectare) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 13.526 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Terran R) | Continuous |
| 13.271 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.250 | How many Annex 2 states will ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty by 2024? | Continuous |
| 12.315 | What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 11.984 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 11.113 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 10.855 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 9.913 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.260 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Vulcan Centaur) | Continuous |
| 8.001 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 7.113 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.897 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 5.571 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 5.494 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 5.248 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 5.162 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 5.057 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 5.057 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 5.035 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 5.035 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.035 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 4.857 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.793 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.793 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.325 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 4.268 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 4.249 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 4.172 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.124 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 4.113 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 3.863 | What will productivity be in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 3.861 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.609 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 3.609 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 3.604 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 3.599 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 3.576 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.533 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.993 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.954 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 2.863 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 2.598 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 2.121 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 1.831 | What will be the number of operational satellites in each year? (2025) | Continuous |
| 1.758 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 1.616 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 0.835 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.607 | What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US, in billions USD, in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.596 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.588 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.209 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 0.203 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.185 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Caroline Ellison) | Binary |
| -0.275 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -0.416 | How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022? | Continuous |
| -1.936 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -9.356 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -10.907 | How many refugees will be admitted to the US from 2021 to 2024? | Continuous |
| -10.911 | Will a dense machine learning model with at least 100 trillion parameters be trained before 2026? | Binary |
| -11.343 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| -16.853 | What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -25.993 | What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -28.100 | What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -32.199 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -40.059 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Liberal) | Binary |
| -43.370 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -43.686 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Conservative) | Binary |
| -76.096 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -91.403 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Neutron) | Continuous |
| -102.654 | Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| -103.600 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Trabucco) | Binary |
| -138.966 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -174.771 | When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit? | Continuous |
| -187.886 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Starship) | Continuous |
| -210.972 | Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026? | Binary |
| -214.432 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -326.812 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -423.523 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| -460.472 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |