Alexander230

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

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1584	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
93.251	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
85.628	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
80.811	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
68.050	Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025?	Binary
66.573	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
64.165	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
58.279	Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School?	Binary
54.865	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
54.498	Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025?	Binary
53.123	Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025?	Binary
52.472	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
51.330	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
50.832	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
50.496	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
49.874	What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories?	Continuous
47.850	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
46.992	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
46.926	How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025?	Multiple Choice
45.278	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
41.288	Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025?	Binary
40.721	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Andrew Wilkie (20.8 v ALP in Clark, TAS))	Binary
38.803	Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?	Binary
37.609	Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025?	Binary
36.721	Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026? (100)	Binary
35.968	When will the 2025 Australian Federal election be held?	Continuous
35.678	Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections?	Binary
34.755	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
34.079	Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25?	Binary
33.181	Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?	Binary
32.989	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
32.943	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
31.439	How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025?	Multiple Choice
31.393	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Allegra Spender (6.8 v LIB in Wentworth, NSW))	Binary
29.935	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Helen Haines (8.9 v LIB in Indi, VIC))	Binary
29.935	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zali Steggall (9.4 v LIB in Warringah, NSW))	Binary
28.679	What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election?	Continuous
27.970	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
27.078	How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025?	Continuous
26.050	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
25.183	Which team will win the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off?	Multiple Choice
22.679	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
22.565	How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025?	Continuous
21.959	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
20.471	Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Europa League?	Multiple Choice
20.392	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
20.253	Which team will win the 2025 Six Nations Championship?	Multiple Choice
19.458	What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale?	Continuous
17.066	What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025?	Multiple Choice
15.628	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
14.938	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Dai Le (1.1 v ALP in Fowler, NSW))	Binary
14.938	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Sophie Scamps (3.3 v LIB in Mackellar, NSW))	Binary
14.360	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
14.154	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
13.879	What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025?	Multiple Choice
13.428	What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
13.401	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
13.105	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
12.961	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
11.922	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
11.422	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
11.328	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
10.944	Which party will win the seat of Bullwinkel in the 2025 Australian Federal Election?	Multiple Choice
10.927	What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025?	Multiple Choice
9.955	What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (May-25)	Continuous
9.194	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
8.768	What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025?	Continuous
8.650	Чи отримає Україна Тауруси до липня 2025? / Will Ukraine acquire Taurus missiles before July 2025?	Binary
8.079	Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025?	Binary
8.051	Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025?	Binary
8.050	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
7.303	What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX?	Continuous
6.863	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
6.685	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
5.212	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
4.739	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
4.677	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
4.657	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Kate Chaney (1.3 v LIB in Curtin, WA))	Binary
4.657	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Monique Ryan (2.2 v LIB in Kooyong, VIC))	Binary
4.644	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
4.250	What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025?	Continuous
3.378	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
3.233	Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025?	Binary
3.068	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025?	Binary
2.653	How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025?	Continuous
2.556	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
1.366	Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025?	Binary
1.265	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
1.096	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
0.850	What will be the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims in the US for the following weeks? (Week ending January 11, 2025)	Continuous
0.049	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
-	Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season?	Binary
-	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
-	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
-1.189	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
-5.902	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
-5.967	What will happen next concerning the US executive order “Reevaluating And Realigning United States Foreign Aid”?	Multiple Choice
-5.999	[Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have?	Continuous
-6.844	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
-8.479	What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
-9.860	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
-10.000	Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025?	Binary
-12.526	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-16.607	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zoe Daniel (3.3 v LIB in Goldstein, VIC))	Binary
-19.131	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
-19.260	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
-25.783	[Short fuse] Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?	Binary
-26.307	[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?	Binary
-26.330	Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025?	Binary
-32.591	Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25?	Binary
-49.999	Will Faith Kipyegon break the 4-minute mile on June 26, 2025?	Binary
-51.073	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary
-67.847	What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025?	Continuous
-70.009	Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025?	Binary
-109.598	Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025?	Binary
-162.198	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous