93.251 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
85.628 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
81.975 | Will a vote of no confidence pass the French National Assembly before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
80.811 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
68.050 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
66.573 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
64.165 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
58.279 | Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School? | Binary |
57.201 | Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025? | Binary |
55.800 | Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico? | Binary |
54.865 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
54.498 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
53.123 | Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025? | Binary |
52.472 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
51.330 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
50.832 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
50.496 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
49.874 | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
47.850 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
46.992 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
46.926 | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
45.278 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
41.288 | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
40.721 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Andrew Wilkie (20.8 v ALP in Clark, TAS)) | Binary |
39.367 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
38.803 | Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
37.609 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
36.721 | Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026? (100) | Binary |
35.968 | When will the 2025 Australian Federal election be held? | Continuous |
35.678 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
34.755 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
34.079 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
33.590 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
33.409 | Will the US lift the price cap on Russian oil before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
33.181 | Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
32.989 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
32.943 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
31.439 | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
31.393 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Allegra Spender (6.8 v LIB in Wentworth, NSW)) | Binary |
29.935 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Helen Haines (8.9 v LIB in Indi, VIC)) | Binary |
29.935 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zali Steggall (9.4 v LIB in Warringah, NSW)) | Binary |
28.679 | What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election? | Continuous |
27.970 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
27.078 | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
26.050 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
25.183 | Which team will win the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off? | Multiple Choice |
22.802 | [Short fuse] Will 4 million or more people participate in 'No Kings' rallies in the United States on June 14, 2025? | Binary |
22.679 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
22.565 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
21.959 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
20.471 | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Europa League? | Multiple Choice |
20.392 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
20.253 | Which team will win the 2025 Six Nations Championship? | Multiple Choice |
19.458 | What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale? | Continuous |
17.066 | What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
15.628 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
14.938 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Dai Le (1.1 v ALP in Fowler, NSW)) | Binary |
14.938 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Sophie Scamps (3.3 v LIB in Mackellar, NSW)) | Binary |
14.360 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
14.154 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
13.879 | What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
13.428 | What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
13.401 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
13.105 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
12.961 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
11.922 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
11.422 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
11.328 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
10.944 | Which party will win the seat of Bullwinkel in the 2025 Australian Federal Election? | Multiple Choice |
10.927 | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
9.955 | What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (May-25) | Continuous |
9.194 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
8.768 | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
8.650 | Чи отримає Україна Тауруси до липня 2025? / Will Ukraine acquire Taurus missiles before July 2025? | Binary |
8.079 | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
8.051 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
8.050 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
7.303 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
6.863 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
6.685 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
5.212 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
4.739 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
4.677 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
4.657 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Kate Chaney (1.3 v LIB in Curtin, WA)) | Binary |
4.657 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Monique Ryan (2.2 v LIB in Kooyong, VIC)) | Binary |
4.644 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
4.250 | What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025? | Continuous |
3.378 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
3.233 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
3.068 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025? | Binary |
2.653 | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
2.556 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
1.366 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
1.265 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
1.096 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
0.850 | What will be the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims in the US for the following weeks? (Week ending January 11, 2025) | Continuous |
0.049 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
- | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
- | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
- | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
-1.189 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
-5.902 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
-5.907 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
-5.967 | What will happen next concerning the US executive order “Reevaluating And Realigning United States Foreign Aid”? | Multiple Choice |
-5.999 | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
-6.844 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-8.479 | What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-9.860 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
-10.000 | Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025? | Binary |
-12.526 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-16.607 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zoe Daniel (3.3 v LIB in Goldstein, VIC)) | Binary |
-19.131 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-19.260 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-25.783 | [Short fuse] Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
-26.307 | [Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025? | Binary |
-26.330 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
-32.591 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
-49.999 | Will Faith Kipyegon break the 4-minute mile on June 26, 2025? | Binary |
-51.073 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |
-67.847 | What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025? | Continuous |
-70.009 | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
-109.598 | Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025? | Binary |
-162.198 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |