| 33.620 | What will be the Hue (in angular degrees) of Pantone's Color of the Year for 2022? | Continuous |
| 32.061 | When will most people in England be legally able to meet socially in a group of six in private indoor places? | Continuous |
| 30.198 | What will the monthly unemployment rate for December 2021 be? | Continuous |
| 25.781 | How many emoji related court cases in 2021? | Continuous |
| 20.129 | What will the highest score be, on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge, by any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 18.448 | On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating? | Binary |
| 14.906 | What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2022-01-14, in perplexity? | Continuous |
| 11.612 | Will UK festival Shambala take place in August 2021? | Binary |
| 10.983 | What will be the state-of-the-art language modelling performance (in perplexity) on WikiText-103 by the following dates? (Jan 14, 2022) | Continuous |
| 9.800 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)? | Continuous |
| 9.427 | What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 9.139 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy? | Continuous |
| 8.541 | What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 7.806 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2022-01-14 in accuracy? | Continuous |
| 7.776 | How many million doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-04-01? | Continuous |
| 7.656 | How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 7.441 | How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 7.293 | On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%? | Binary |
| 7.272 | How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 6.810 | Will the University of California Berkeley be primarily in-person for Fall 2021? | Binary |
| 6.804 | What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on May 1st in the United States? | Continuous |
| 6.777 | When will most people in England be able to meet socially in a group of six in public outdoor places? | Continuous |
| 6.027 | What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021? | Continuous |
| 5.979 | What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Jan-2022) | Continuous |
| 5.698 | How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to the following dates? (January 2022) | Continuous |
| 5.201 | What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 5.033 | Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021? | Binary |
| 4.391 | What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates? (November 2021) | Continuous |
| 4.380 | Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01? | Binary |
| 4.369 | How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-12-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 3.782 | How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 3.548 | In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts? | Binary |
| 3.161 | How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 2.903 | What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 2.259 | When will the third SpaceX Starship flight be? | Continuous |
| 0.914 | Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions? | Binary |
| 0.914 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2021 NBA championship? | Binary |
| 0.754 | Will the Substack Slow Boring exceed 10,000 paid subscribers in 2021? | Binary |
| 0.152 | Will the price of Brent crude oil exceed $70 in 2021? | Binary |
| -0.868 | Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022? | Binary |
| -1.260 | Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel following the Israeli legislative election of 2021? | Binary |
| -2.055 | Will US real GDP growth in 2021 set a new record for any previous year in the 21st century? | Binary |
| -2.643 | What will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates? (Jan-2022) | Continuous |
| -4.761 | Will Apple release a new iMac based on Apple silicon in 2021? | Binary |
| -6.398 | What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, at 2022-01-14 in box average precision (box AP)? | Continuous |
| -10.622 | What will the highest level of annualised core US CPI growth be, in 2021, according to U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data? | Continuous |
| -14.838 | Will Apple fail to deliver a new Mac Pro based on Apple silicon in 2021? | Binary |
| -19.477 | Will Israel and Saudi Arabia establish official diplomatic relations in 2021? | Binary |