| 71.499 | 86.9% | Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 42.834 | 98.0% | Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026? | Binary |
| 38.033 | 97.1% | Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025? | Binary |
| 34.789 | 33.9% | Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2026? | Binary |
| 32.718 | 97.9% | Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025? | Binary |
| 29.493 | 72.7% | Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026? | Binary |
| 29.327 | 90.4% | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? | Binary |
| 26.525 | 65.6% | Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.515 | 98.7% | Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026? | Binary |
| 23.246 | 97.0% | Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 22.802 | 89.6% | Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025? | Binary |
| 22.389 | 91.8% | Will a bilateral ceasefire be announced in the Ukraine war, before April 19, 2025? | Binary |
| 21.472 | 24.3% | Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 20.949 | 56.8% | Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026? | Binary |
| 19.224 | 89.1% | Will the US break up Google before 1 January 2026? | Binary |
| 18.318 | 99.3% | Will bitcoin reach $200k in 2025? | Binary |
| 17.743 | 35.0% | When will GPT-5 be available to the general public? | Continuous |
| 17.703 | 48.4% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| 17.021 | 91.2% | Will Brazil ban the 6x1 work schedule before 1 January 2026? | Binary |
| 17.013 | 98.7% | Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.236 | 97.7% | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.100 | 61.6% | Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538? | Binary |
| 13.546 | 98.7% | Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI? | Binary |
| 12.855 | 91.9% | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024? | Binary |
| 11.647 | 28.8% | Will there be a global recession before 2026, according to the IMF? | Binary |
| 9.805 | 96.8% | Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 9.245 | 87.3% | Will Boeing file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 9.180 | 17.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Southampton) | Continuous |
| 9.115 | 98.7% | Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026? | Binary |
| 9.014 | 62.9% | Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| 8.770 | 99.7% | Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.215 | 98.7% | Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.447 | 41.3% | Will Greg Brockman return to OpenAI following his leave of absence? | Binary |
| 6.770 | 97.8% | Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 6.653 | 95.8% | Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.916 | 17.1% | Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.863 | 97.9% | Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025? | Binary |
| 5.780 | 97.4% | Will OpenAI offer ChatGPT in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.849 | 13.6% | Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.816 | 56.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 4.754 | 7.4% | What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2024-25 season through the end of April 2025? | Continuous |
| 4.281 | 35.5% | Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases? | Binary |
| 4.214 | 7.8% | What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years? (End of 2025) | Continuous |
| 3.803 | 7.8% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Leicester) | Continuous |
| 3.617 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Michael Cohen (former Trump lawyer)) | Binary |
| 3.349 | 91.2% | Will the REAL ID deadline be extended beyond May 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.153 | 6.8% | Will there be an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah in 2024? | Binary |
| 3.067 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Jack Smith (special counsel)) | Binary |
| 2.967 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)) | Binary |
| 2.928 | 97.1% | Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 2.855 | 8.1% | Which parties will form the governing coalition after the 2025 Germany Federal Elections? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.810 | 7.1% | Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza? | Binary |
| 2.808 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Mistral AI) | Binary |
| 2.727 | 9.4% | Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.553 | 20.3% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 2.339 | 21.1% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 2.273 | 7.3% | When will OpenAI publicly release Sora, its text-to-video model? | Continuous |
| 2.269 | 99.3% | Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.162 | 13.2% | Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.018 | 5.6% | Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA? (2025) | Binary |
| 1.967 | 60.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 1.946 | 6.6% | How many MPs will New Democracy have in the following dates? | Πόσους βουλευτές θα έχει η Νέα Δημοκρατία τις εξής ημερομηνίες; (December 31, 2025) | Continuous |
| 1.892 | 9.4% | On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States? | Binary |
| 1.732 | 98.9% | Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.728 | 2.6% | Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.671 | 12.1% | Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.645 | 8.2% | Who will be the next chancellor of Germany after 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.644 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Alibaba) | Binary |
| 1.582 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Alvin Bragg (Manhattan DA)) | Binary |
| 1.577 | 9.3% | What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.487 | 8.2% | Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.442 | 7.6% | How many months in prison will Hunter Biden be sentenced to before 2026? | Continuous |
| 1.369 | 11.7% | Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.206 | 7.8% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
| 1.003 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Baidu) | Binary |
| 0.906 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Letitia James (New York attorney general)) | Binary |
| 0.896 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Arthur Engoron (New York judge)) | Binary |
| 0.865 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 0.842 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Hugging Face) | Binary |
| 0.745 | 18.1% | Will the certification of the 2024 US Presidential election be delayed until after January 6, 2025 for any reason? | Binary |
| 0.715 | 6.6% | Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.608 | 27.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 0.563 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Barack Obama) | Binary |
| 0.543 | 8.3% | Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors? | Binary |
| 0.515 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 0.496 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Juan Merchan (New York judge)) | Binary |
| 0.430 | 3.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Meta) | Binary |
| 0.389 | 6.0% | In the following years, what will be the highest LLM scores on the GPQA Diamond benchmark? (2025) | Continuous |
| 0.353 | 93.1% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Stephanie Clifford (AKA Stormy Daniels)) | Binary |
| 0.346 | 47.3% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Atalanta) | Binary |
| 0.316 | 7.0% | Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.277 | 15.4% | Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.263 | 81.8% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Aston Villa) | Binary |
| 0.256 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Cohere) | Binary |
| 0.245 | 0.4% | Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 0.229 | 3.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Microsoft) | Binary |
| 0.228 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (xAI) | Binary |
| 0.205 | 27.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Juventus) | Binary |
| 0.203 | 0.4% | Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026? (The Philippines) | Binary |
| 0.196 | 10.2% | Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months? | Binary |
| 0.167 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (IBM) | Binary |
| 0.165 | 0.4% | Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026? (Mexico) | Binary |
| 0.134 | 0.4% | Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026? (Sri Lanka) | Binary |
| 0.117 | 0.2% | Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026? (Indonesia) | Binary |
| 0.103 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (AI21) | Binary |
| 0.094 | 39.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 0.086 | 60.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (AS Monaco) | Binary |
| 0.082 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Inflection) | Binary |
| 0.079 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (C3.ai) | Binary |
| 0.075 | 3.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Apple) | Binary |
| 0.059 | 7.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Perplexity AI) | Binary |
| 0.059 | 10.7% | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? (No) → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 0.051 | 55.6% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (PSV Eindhoven) | Binary |
| 0.047 | 35.8% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Atlético Madrid) | Binary |
| 0.029 | 55.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| -0.009 | 39.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| -0.024 | 55.6% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Club Brugge) | Binary |
| -0.066 | 12.4% | When will Microsoft release Windows 12? | Continuous |
| -0.079 | 55.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| -0.083 | 69.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Lille OSC) | Binary |
| -0.107 | 3.9% | How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025? | Continuous |
| -0.121 | 48.4% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| -0.124 | 47.3% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Sporting Lisbon) | Binary |
| -0.176 | 53.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| -0.180 | 53.6% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Sturm Graz) | Binary |
| -0.204 | 35.4% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Bayer Leverkusen) | Binary |
| -0.205 | 53.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (VfD Stuttgart) | Binary |
| -0.209 | 53.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Dinamo Zagreb) | Binary |
| -0.225 | 53.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Sparta Praha) | Binary |
| -0.232 | 53.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| -0.234 | 53.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Red Star Belgrade) | Binary |
| -0.236 | 53.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Slovan Bratislava) | Binary |
| -0.240 | 53.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Girona) | Binary |
| -0.266 | 53.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Bologna) | Binary |
| -1.331 | 60.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Stade Brest) | Binary |
| -1.338 | 36.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| -6.685 | 76.0% | Before the end of President Biden's term, will the Equal Rights Amendment be certified and published? | Binary |
| -7.269 | 67.5% | Will antimicrobial drug sales for use in livestock production increase by at least 0.5% in 2024 relative to 2023? | Binary |
| -11.363 | 50.2% | Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025? | Binary |
| -16.175 | 72.7% | Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -16.650 | 65.1% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| -23.589 | 96.1% | Will car crash deaths in the US be below 40,000 for 2024? | Binary |